ZTrader Macro & AI Notes

ZTrader Macro & AI Notes

THE 12% LIE 99% OF INVESTORS ARE TOLD

What actually happens to the S&P 500'S average return once it meets your money.

Dorian's avatar
Dorian
Aug 12, 2026
∙ Paid

January 2000.

The S&P 500 sat near an all-time high, tech stocks priced for a future that hadn’t arrived yet, and somewhere in the country a worker retired with a million-dollar portfolio and a plan to draw it down at 4% a year —

the withdrawal rate an obscure California planner named William Bengen had spent the 1990s defending as safe, based on decade…

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Dorian.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Liao Wunkai · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture